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    湖南省主要树种单木相容性生物量模型系统研建

    Development of a compatible biomass model system for individual trees of major tree species in Hunan Province of central China

    • 摘要:
      目的 建立杉木、马尾松和栎类3个树种的单木各组分相容性生物量模型系统,为实现湖南主要树种模型的科学化和标准化以及精准预估森林生物量提供技术支撑。
      方法 基于湖南省3个主要树种468株伐倒木数据(杉木160株、马尾松153株和栎类155株),分别比较单木6个组分生物量(地上、地下、树干、树皮、树枝和树叶生物量)基础模型并寻求拟合指标最优模型,进一步比较不同起源(天然林和人工林)的生物量模型,并选择引起参数差异显著的起源作为哑变量,构建比例控制的非线性联立方程组预估单木各组分生物量。
      结果 3个树种单木各组分生物量基础模型的拟合结果表明,地上B1、地下B2、树干B3和树皮B4这4个组分生物量模型的自变量选择胸径和树高,树枝B5和树叶B6生物量模型选择胸径、树高和冠幅;以起源为哑变量的模型显示,杉木的地上生物量B1(平均预估误差MPE较基础模型降低1.16%)、马尾松的地下生物量B2(MPE降低4.65%)、以及栎类的地上生物量B1(MPE降低3.24%)和地下生物量B2(MPE降低29.13%)均表现出天然林的生物量要显著高于人工林的生物量;以起源为哑变量的单木生物量模型系统的拟合效果较佳,3个树种地上生物量模型的决定系数R²均超过0.90,平均预估误差MPE低于4%;而地下生物量模型的R2同样均在0.90以上,其MPE则低于14%。
      结论 以起源为哑变量的单木各组分生物量模型拟合效果最好,其次是非线性联立方程组相容性模型系统,拟合效果最差的是基础模型。虽然模型系统的拟合效果略劣于哑变量模型,但模型系统能解决单木各组分生物量的相容性和可加性,且它们参数之间的差异不大,因此优先推荐采用相容性模型系统来预测湖南省杉木、马尾松和栎类3个树种的单木各组分生物量。

       

      Abstract:
      Objective This paper aims to establish a compatible biomass model system for individual tree components of Cunninghamia lanceolata, Pinus massoniana, and Quercus species, so as to provide technical support for the scientific and standardized modeling of main tree species in Hunan Province of central China and the accurate prediction of forest biomass.
      Method Based on the felling data of 468 individual trees of three main tree species in Hunan Province (160 of Cunninghamia lanceolata, 153 of Pinus massoniana, and 155 of Quercus species), the basic models of biomass for six individual tree components (aboveground, underground, trunk, bark, branch, and leaf biomass) were compared respectively, and the optimal model with the best fitting indicators was sought. Further, the biomass models of different origins (natural forests and plantations) were compared. Dummy variable models were established by selecting parameters adding origin as variable with significant differences, and the biomass of individual tree components was predicted by constructing nonlinear simultaneous equations with proportion control.
      Result The fitting results of basic biomass models for individual tree components of three tree species showed that for four components of aboveground biomass B1, underground biomass B2, trunk biomass B3, and bark biomass B4, the independent variables selected were DBH and tree height, while for the biomass models of branches B5 and leaves B6, DBH, tree height (H), and crown width (CW) were selected. The models with origin as a dummy variable indicated that for aboveground biomass B1 (the mean prediction error MPE was reduced by 1.16% compared with the base model) of Cunninghamia lanceolata, underground biomass B2 (MPE was reduced by 4.65%) of Pinus massoniana, and aboveground biomass B1 (MPE was reduced by 3.24%) and underground biomass B2 (MPE was reduced by 29.13%) of Quercus species, the biomass in natural forests was significantly higher than that in plantations. The fitting effect of individual tree biomass model system with origin as a dummy variable was better, with the determination coefficients (R2) of aboveground biomass models of three tree species all above 0.90, and the average predicted error MPE was below 4%, while the underground biomass models also showed R² above 0.90 and MPE below 14%.
      Conclusion The individual tree component biomass model with origin as a dummy variable has the best fitting effect, followed by the nonlinear simultaneous equation compatibility model system, and the basic model has the worst fitting effect. Although the fitting effects of model systems are slightly worse than the dummy variable model, these model systems can solve the compatibility and additivity of individual tree component biomass, and the differences among their parameters are not significant. Therefore, it is recommended to use compatibility model systems to predict the biomass of individual tree components of Cunninghamia lanceolata, Pinus massoniana, and Quercus species in Hunan Province of central China.

       

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