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    “平急两用”视角下北京“二绿”地区蓄滞洪与游憩潜力空间特征评价与权衡协同关系

    Spatial characteristics evaluation of flood detention and storage, and recreation potential as well as synergies and trade-offs in Beijing’s Second Greenbelt from a normal-emergency dual-use perspective

    • 摘要:
      目的 在城镇雨洪风险加剧与国家倡导“平急两用”公共基础设施的背景下,探究蓄滞洪区的多功能复合利用与空间效率提升路径至关重要。为此,本研究旨在构建一套兼顾蓄滞洪与游憩潜力的空间评价方法,定量揭示其权衡协同关系,以期为“平急两用”理念下蓄滞洪区的空间规划与精准配置提供科学依据。
      方法 以北京市第二道绿化隔离地区(“二绿”地区)为研究对象,耦合多准则决策分析(MCDA)与地理信息系统(GIS)方法,构建蓄滞洪与游憩双重潜力评价指标体系。并采用熵权法客观赋权,通过GIS空间加权叠加分析两类潜力的空间分布特征;进而运用双变量空间自相关分析法,定量辨识两类潜力在空间上的权衡协同格局。
      结果 (1)蓄滞洪潜力整体呈“西北−西南−东南高,东北低”的分布格局,高潜力区主要分布于西部丘陵、西南部及东部低洼河网地带。(2)游憩潜力整体表现为“中心高,外围低,局部斑块突出”的分布格局,高潜力区集中于西部山地、东北部湿地及南部关键节点。(3)两类潜力在空间上以权衡关系为主导,协同区域有限。具体而言,蓄滞洪与游憩潜力双高协同区分布于西部山前地带与东部湿地,蓄滞洪潜力高−游憩潜力低权衡区集中于西南与东南部的低洼河网区,蓄滞洪潜力低−游憩潜力高权衡区主要位于临近中心的城镇化区域,蓄滞洪与游憩潜力双低区则零散分布于建设用地与主要交通廊道周边。
      结论 本研究构建了适用于“平急两用”场景的蓄滞洪与游憩潜力综合评价指标体系,明晰了二者的权衡协同关系及其空间分异特征,并据此提出了针对不同功能组合区的差异化优化策略。研究成果将为“平急两用”型蓄滞洪区的空间识别、分区管控及协同优化提供理论框架与决策支持。

       

      Abstract:
      Objective Against the backdrop of increasing urban stormwater flood risks and the national promotion of “dual-use” public infrastructure, exploring the multifunctional composite utilization and spatial efficiency improvement pathways for flood storage and detention areas is crucial. This paper aims to develop a spatial evaluation method for assessing both flood detention and storage, and recreation potential, quantitatively reveal their trade-offs/synergies, and provide a scientific basis for spatial planning and precise configuration of flood storage and detention areas under the “dual-use” concept.
      Method Taking the Beijing’s Second Greenbelt as study area, this research coupled multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) with geographic information systems (GIS) to construct a dual-potential evaluation indicator system for flood detention and storage, and recreation. The entropy weight method was used for objective weighting, and GIS-based spatial weighted overlay analysis was applied to characterize the spatial distributions of the two types of potential. Subsequently, spatial autocorrelation analysis was employed to quantitatively identify the spatial trade-off and synergy patterns between them.
      Result (1) Flood detention and storage potential overall showed a “high in northwest, southwest, southeast; low in northeast” pattern, with high-potential areas mainly distributing in the western hills, southwestern and eastern low-lying river network zones. (2) Recreation potential showed a structure of “high in the center, low in the periphery, with prominent local patches”. High-potential areas were concentrated in the western mountains, northeastern wetlands, and key nodes in the south. (3) Spatially, the relationship between the two functions was predominantly characterized by trade-offs, with limited synergistic areas. Specifically, high flood detention and storage-high recreation synergy clusters were found in the western piedmont and eastern wetlands; high flood detention and storage-low recreation trade-off areas were concentrated in the low-lying river networks of the southwestern and southeastern area; low flood detention and storage-high recreation trade-off areas were primarily located in urbanized areas near the center; low flood detention and storage-low recreation clusters were scattered around built-up land and major transportation corridors.
      Conclusion This study developed a comprehensive evaluation indicator system for flood detention and storage and recreation potential suitable for the “dual-use” scenario, clarified their trade-off/synergy relationship and spatial differentiation, and accordingly proposed differentiated optimization strategies tailored to each functional zone. The results provide a theoretical framework and decision-support for spatial identification, zoning management, and synergistic optimization of “dual-use” flood detention and storage areas.

       

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