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    韩焱云, 吴保国, 刘建成, 郭艳荣, 董晨. 不确定性推理在森林培育专家系统中的应用[J]. 北京林业大学学报, 2014, 36(1): 88-93.
    引用本文: 韩焱云, 吴保国, 刘建成, 郭艳荣, 董晨. 不确定性推理在森林培育专家系统中的应用[J]. 北京林业大学学报, 2014, 36(1): 88-93.
    HAN Yan-yun, WU Bao-guo, LIU Jian-cheng, GUO Yan-rong, DONG Chen.. Application of uncertainty inference in the forest cultivation expert system.[J]. Journal of Beijing Forestry University, 2014, 36(1): 88-93.
    Citation: HAN Yan-yun, WU Bao-guo, LIU Jian-cheng, GUO Yan-rong, DONG Chen.. Application of uncertainty inference in the forest cultivation expert system.[J]. Journal of Beijing Forestry University, 2014, 36(1): 88-93.

    不确定性推理在森林培育专家系统中的应用

    Application of uncertainty inference in the forest cultivation expert system.

    • 摘要: 在森林培育专家系统中,由于一些知识的不完整性和模糊性,造成模拟专家推理过程中推理结果的不确定。 为实现对这些知识的处理,将不确定性推理应用于森林培育专家系统,利用模糊逻辑方法对确定性和不确定性知 识用多个逻辑值进行表达,并在规则可信度的计算中,将专家给出的特定规则的可信度规定为1;将专家给出的不 确定规则,通过频率来动态计算获得规则的权重值和可信度;而对于用户不确定的选择而产生的规则,采用模糊层 次分析法计算可信度。另外,本研究的推理机算法实现了根据用户上一条的回答智能判断下一条提问,并基于用 户的回答,给出该立地条件下适宜的造林树种或造林模式以及可信度。

       

      Abstract: In the forest cultivation expert system, reasoning results are usually made in the face of uncertainty, with knowledge that is incomplete or fuzzy. Uncertainty inference was applied in the forest cultivation expert system to deal with such knowledge. Fuzzy logic was used to express different degrees of certainty or uncertainty of assertions. The certainty factor of specific rules by experts given equalled 1; the weight factor and certainty factor of the uncertainty rule were calculated from the frequency; the certainty factor of rules was calculated using the fuzzy-analytic hierarchy process for the users爷uncertain selection. Furthermore, an inference engine algorithm was designed. The order of questions to be asked was decided dynamically depending upon the answers of the users. On the basis of answers, consulting results along with its confidence factor were provided

       

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